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The problem being addressed is the rate of covid in the community and the loosening of restrictions which will allow those still unvaccinated to need hospital. Covid could still surge. How low does covid in the community need to be and what effect does each restriction loosening result in. You will see some modelling of some of this by Warwick Uni. https://warwick.ac.uk/fac/cross_fac/zeeman_instit...
The people of this country would not have accepted a government that had deliberately chosen No Restrictions as a policy.
A year ago people were saying that we did not need any restrictions because for example, Covid would die out in 90 days anyway, or it would be no worse then flu, or it would not overwhelm the NHS. We have a year of data and we know that all these claims are wrong. Restrictions were needed to control the volume of cases. Restrictions have very strong public support. Restrictions are used in every Country in the world.
You need to forget your constant claim for "no restrictions".
That is precisely what is not known yet. Some information and early studies is showing a reduced effectiveness from both the Oxford and Pfizer vaccine. Because of a concern over reduced efficacy South Africa stopped using the Oxford vaccine. But that is what is going to be looked at now. It is some of the data that we need before decisions are made about how fast to loosen restrictions.
Fatalities are not going to overwhelm and close the NHS. It is hospital admissions that will do that. GW is looking at the wrong data.
With restrictions over the last year we have had some 380,000 covid hospitalisations with about half of them working age people. Without restrictions the data indicates that we would have had about 2 million admissions. The NHS would have closed causing an economic and health catastrophe.
In the trials the vaccine stopped all hospitalisations and fatalities. But we do not yet have confirmation that we will have the same result with the new variants. Perhaps we will have some level of hospitalisations. We also know that there are a potential large number of hospitalisations from younger people who are not yet vaccinated. If there is a large occurrence of covid in the population they would quickly become hospitalised before vaccination.
So the medical specialists need to look at the data and come up with a plan based on what is happening. Loosen restrictions so that we do not need to return to a lockdown. Data not dates as they say.
Fatalities is not the issue that will overwhelm and close the NHS. It is Covid hospital admissions that will close the NHS and the restrictions have been needed to stop that happening. 380,000 hospital admissions with restrictions and the NHS had to stop virtually all non covid work. Quite possibly 2+ million if we had "no restrictions". That is why Restrictions have such strong public support and are used in every Country in the world.
The people of our Country have joined in a great endeavour to control the pace and volume of Covid infections to stop an Economic and Health catastrophe.