merciantory

merciantory

111p

3,978 comments posted · 8 followers · following 0

15 hours ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Merkel will rescue the... · 1 reply · +1 points

I accept that the people posting here are probably atypical. But you are assuming that the widespread disillusion with the Brexit debate means people would rather reverse A50 and revert to the status quo ante. That is like equating widespread grumbling about shortages in WWII with a public desire to surrender. I think you are mistaken and the majority of voters want the politicians to “just get on with it” and deliver Brexit in some form as soon as possible so we can all get on with life after Brexit. You underestimate the population and ignore how angry and humiliated an A50 volte face would make them feel.

17 hours ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Merkel will rescue the... · 0 replies · +1 points

Wsmtt......That's like recommending amputation as a cure for a bee sting.

17 hours ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Merkel will rescue the... · 3 replies · +1 points

"a few angry pensioners" ?? Bit gratuitous? Only a majority of the largest turnout in any UK poll. That's the sort of attitude that ends up with people hanging upside down from a lamp post. Try showing a little respect for those you disagree with.

Apart from which you have no idea whether Article 50 could be cancelled anyway, not least because there may not be a majority for that in Parliament either.

20 hours ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Iain Dale: Let's be fr... · 0 replies · +1 points

I'm glad you appreciate my carefully crafted and measured contributions.

20 hours ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Iain Dale: Let's be fr... · 1 reply · +1 points

"accept the need to compromise". Tell that to Clegg, Major, Heseltine, Parrish, Soubry, Gina Miller, Blair, Campbell, the EU negotiating team, Macron, Selmayr………..

20 hours ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Iain Dale: Let's be fr... · 0 replies · +1 points

I'll concede she's doing her best (though many here wouldn't). But sometimes doing your best just isn't good enough. E.g. Eddie the Eagle?

21 hours ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Iain Dale: Let's be fr... · 2 replies · +1 points

Mea Culpa. Nasty, brutish and not always as short as one might wish?

21 hours ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Iain Dale: Let's be fr... · 0 replies · +1 points

I think I retain some vestiges of a sense of humour. You clearly don't. If you want to read somebody with far more influence than I, making the same point, but seriously, read Iain Martin's piece in today's Times.

As for "Blair, Clegg and Heseltine are private citizens and are perfectly entitled to talk to anyone they want." That is a statement that has to be so qualified, and subject to so many exceptions, as to be meaningless.

I entirely accept that it would be hard to prosecute for treason at all, and had I suggested that the CPS prosecute them, that would have been silly, but the precedent for private citizens going to court over political differences was surely set by Gina Miller?

21 hours ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Merkel will rescue the... · 0 replies · +1 points

Is May going to be invited to their "Brexit no Deal planning" meeting. Wasn't clear to me.

22 hours ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Merkel will rescue the... · 5 replies · +1 points

Question Time last night. Quoting from memory a clearly well off member of the audience - "I've voted Tory all my life. I won't now." He won't be alone. Of course, he will live to regret a Corbyn government if that's what he gets - he'll feel considerably less well off when he looks at his tax bill in 5 years time, and reflects on what his vote did to the state of the country. But by then it will be too late.

To my mind there are three options facing the party:
1) Continue under May, resulting in a catastrophic "deal", rejected by parliament - eventual outcome a GE and a Corbyn (really McDonnell) government
2) Abandon Brexit - result a complete collapse of any trust in the political classes - eventual outcome a GE and a Corbyn/McDonnell government
3) Jettison May, put in a caretaker PM (probably DD) and make a last attempt to negotiate an FTA on Canada lines, failing which exit with no deal - eventual outcome a GE and a probably a coalition government, possibly a Tory government with a leader from the next generation (where there is plenty of relatively untainted talent). Still a risk of a Corbyn/McDonnell government, but offers the best possibility of avoiding it.

A truly bad Brexit may take years to recover from - but fewer than trying to recover from Corbyn/McDonnell turning the UK into a second Venezuela.

I know there are lots of possible objections to this analysis. Frankly the present situation almost defies analysis and makes any predictions little more than wild guesses. But for what it is worth.....