endorendil
27p27 comments posted · 2 followers · following 0
5 years ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Daniel Hannan: For par... · 1 reply · +1 points
That's patently untrue. When you talked at length on the issue of leaving, Daniel, you never, ever talked about the idea that it would benefit developing countries. That was more honest.
The EU has a preferential trade regime with every one of the 48 LDC (Least Developed Countries). Their goods come in largely tariff-free, with expedited customs procedures and they can even use preferential rules of origin, including cumulation. That's why the LDC trade with the EU is so much higher than with the US or any other country than China. And I'll happily agree that China is doing a better job developing the LDC than the EU, if you admit that the EU is doing a better job than any other developed economy, and that China has strategic objectives beyond development, unlike the EU.
"First, like a lot of Remainers, they genuinely believe that the only real issue for Leavers was immigration, and so have drawn their red line there rather than on economics. "
Umm, actually that is exactly what the government has decided. And Dan, dear boy, I know you always said it wasn't about immigration, and I kinda believe that you really think it wasn't. But at the very latest, you should have known with the unveiling of "Breaking Point" that you were on the side of the xenophobes and the anti-globalists. Maybe you would have been one of those that just wanted the trains to run on time, but the point is that you knew very well the company you were keeping. I've seen your denials, and I don't think you believe them yourself.
"When we do more trade with non-EU than EU markets, how can the gains and losses be so lopsided? "
Dan, this is when I start believing that you really are just a regular politician. You should know darn well why. The UK is the preferred starting point for exports from the end of EU supply chains out into the world. Why? Because so many global corporations are set up there, and because of English. It's that simple. Oversimplifying to the point of being rude: the UK is the shop window for the EU.This is a great position to be in. But it goes completely out of the window (pardon the pun) when the UK leaves, as that involves real costs. Even if the UK would stay in the single market.
"The idea that we could be more ambitious, providing for full reciprocity in services and professional qualifications, wasn’t considered."
Right, because the US has never offered it, and it would be economic suicide for the UK to offer it. Within the EU, the UK specialised in exporting services (but really not that much, aside from the relatively small financial services sector). The US has the same spot in its trade web. In a direct competition, there's simply no question who would win. The UK providing services to the US that other US companies already provide? Seriously, Dan?
"But we – we liberal Leavers – don’t own it."
That is true. liberal Leavers were a tiny minority, even within Leave. You knew that better than anyone, Dan. There is no way that you didn't know that. Your job was to make Leave acceptable to some, and convince millions that staying home on referendum day was reasonable. You know this to be true, but you wanted it anyway. So don't start whinging now, please. It's not your baby, but you were the one performing the C-section. You own it, whether you like it or not.
7 years ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Anthony Coughlan: Why ... · 0 replies · +1 points
7 years ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Anthony Coughlan: Why ... · 0 replies · +1 points
It's a minority view globally, within Ireland and even within the UK.
7 years ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Anthony Coughlan: Why ... · 0 replies · +1 points
The UK will also lose access to the TFA. This could be a huge shock to the trade with non-EU countries like the US and China.
7 years ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Anthony Coughlan: Why ... · 0 replies · +1 points
Even though Norway is in the EEA, it is not in the EU, so barriers to trade remain. They are not part of CAP and CFP, so agricultural and fish products are even subject to quota.
7 years ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Anthony Coughlan: Why ... · 0 replies · +1 points
The WTO touted this deal as better than removing all remaining tariffs. Considering WTO member trade is 16 trillion USD per year (roughly), and trade-weighted average tariffs are 3%, this means that the WTO deal removes at least 500 billion USD in costs. Probably more considering they think it will lead to an increase of 1 trillion USD in global trade.
7 years ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Anthony Coughlan: Why ... · 0 replies · +1 points
7 years ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Anthony Coughlan: Why ... · 4 replies · +1 points
My point is that it's important to realize that the think tank specializes in minority views. They're a political version of the climate change deniers. Not all that different from the Minford "Economists for Brexit" group, which also gathered the few economists that believed there was a possible upside to Brexit. Incidentally, they also say that unless their recipe is followed to the letter, Brexit will hurt a lot. Their prescription is full globalisation, i.e. completely go neoliberal.
7 years ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Anthony Coughlan: Why ... · 2 replies · +1 points
The recent WTO deal removes on average 14% of the cost of international trade by reducing non-tariff barriers. That's more than you'ld gain if you could remove all tariffs.
It's all well and good to dream, but at some point reality has to play a role in the planning, or it's all just going to come crashing down. I suggest it's time to wake up.
7 years ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Anthony Coughlan: Why ... · 0 replies · +1 points