577 comments posted · 1 followers · following 0

2 hours ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Council by-election re... · 0 replies · +1 points

Farage has made his support for an alliance conditional upon Johnson going unequivocally for a 'clean break' Brexit. But if Johnson does this what is the point of the Conservative party? It might as well just collapse into the Brexit Party.

The other route is for the Conservatives to be the Deal party and the BXP to be the No Deal party. But then the Leave vote will be divided about equally.

Johnson is faced with a dilemma.

3 hours ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Good luck, Tim Montgom... · 0 replies · +1 points

ConHome might be in a different place with Brexit had Tim stayed on. At the same time ConHome editorials were opposing May's deal, in the 'News Tweets' Tim was supporting it.

15 hours ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Good luck, Tim Montgom... · 2 replies · +1 points

We don't know what the Queen's advisors said to the government before she signed off the prorogation. I doubt it was 'No problem at all', so some quid pro quo might have been agreed.

What mystifies me more is why the Brexiters in the Lords suddenly stopped filibustering. They took one look at the opposition armed with overnight bags and sued for unconditional surrender (on the 'Surrender Bill'!)

22 hours ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Nick Hargrave: As a To... · 5 replies · +1 points

Boris is coming to a fork in the road and who supports him at the election depends on which path he takes. If he takes the Deal path he loses support to the BXP; If he takes the No Deal path he loses support to the LibDems. That's why he is so keen on having an election before the fork is reached.

The party will then be orientated towards the direction of the path chosen. The Deal path will take it in a more moderate direction than the No Deal one.

3 days ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Here comes Harold Corbyn · 0 replies · +1 points

The 1975 referendum was no more successful at keeping Labour together than the 2016 one was in keeping the Conservatives together. The Labour party did not accept the result and eventually adopted a strong leave policy. As the prospect of a socialist UK-only economy receded they then flipped and became staunchly pro-EU just in time for their 1997 return to power.

This meant that, between Labour and Conservative, the most pro-EU party won all the elections during the period of further integration. Not because this was a popular policy, but because people did not rank it highly as a concern.

3 days ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Andrew Gimson's Suprem... · 4 replies · +1 points

This point has just been made at the supreme court and Lady Hale looked unimpressed, suggesting Attlee was trying to enforce the will of the Commons rather than frustrate it.

4 days ago @ http://www.conservativ... - WATCH: Johnson in Luxe... · 0 replies · +1 points

As a LibDem majority government is unlikely (to put it mildly) it does seem that the only way revocation could happen is if Parliament was forced to make such a binary choice between that and No Deal.

6 days ago @ http://www.conservativ... - The curse of Cameron · 0 replies · +1 points

The 'unravelling parcel was passed to Theresa May' but she quickly put the wrapping paper back on and said that it contained whatever you wanted. Continued alignment or wide divergence ... yes, both are there hidden inside.

1 week ago @ http://www.conservativ... - "The landing zone" · 2 replies · +1 points

If Johnson resigns there could be an extension of considerable length, as then he would not be in control of negotiating the newly extended date, and in a subsequent GE will be seen as having enabled this by resigning.

1 week ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Garvan Walshe: No Deal... · 0 replies · +1 points

The IFG, in its 'explainer' on the prorogation court process, says that if this is the supreme court verdict it will be deemed unlawful in the whole UK.