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1 week ago @ http://www.conservativ... - The thrills and spills... · 1 reply · +1 points

It is misleading to claim that Gove saying we should leave the Single Market, which I believe he did in answer to a question on Marr, means a Canada-style deal was proposed by Vote Leave.

In a keynote Vote Leave speech, Michael Gove said:
“There is a free trade zone stretching from Iceland to Turkey that all European nations have access to, regardless of whether they are in or out of the euro or EU. After we vote to leave we will remain in this zone.”

This was reflected by what Vote Leave set out as their proposal in official literature:
“We have a new EU-UK Treaty based on free trade and friendly co-operation. There is a European free trade zone from Iceland to the Russian border and we will be part of it.”

This 'zone' would appear to include the EEA. If not, why do both statements include Iceland?

Even if you claim that Gove's subsequent utterances about leaving the Single Market ruled out the EEA, you are still left with the Switzerland, Ukraine and Turkey models within the zone. What the Vote Leave policy does NOT do is propose Canada.

4 weeks ago @ http://www.conservativ... - How Chequers seems to ... · 0 replies · +1 points

Knaresborough result:

LibDem - 2,051
Con - 1,313
Lab - 369

4 weeks ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Iain Dale: In defence ... · 0 replies · +1 points

And if he hadn't gone to Afghanistan he wouldn't have had that unfortunate incident when trying to post a letter.

5 weeks ago @ http://www.conservativ... - What next for the John... · 0 replies · +1 points

In the latest poll Conservatives are 4 points ahead of Labour. On leader, May is 14 points ahead of Corbyn.

5 weeks ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Greig Baker: Campaigni... · 0 replies · +1 points

That was a rough estimate before the detailed constituency analysis was done, which showed 54.7% Remain.

It is difficult to see how Canterbury (or Kensington) could have gone Labour without Brexit. If/when it passes the seat will revert very easily to the Conservatives.

UKIP telling its supporters to vote Brazier was a double edged sword. https://www.kentonline.co.uk/canterbury/news/ukip...

6 weeks ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Greig Baker: Campaigni... · 3 replies · +1 points

In Canterbury, UKIP got 14% in 2015 and did not stand in 2017. But Brazier gained only a net 2%!

This indicates that, in a 55% Remain seat, his strong Brexit views repelled a lot of people who would otherwise have voted for him.

7 weeks ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Siobhan Baillie select... · 1 reply · +1 points

I imagine under normal circumstances Stewart Jackson would love to have his old seat back.

If he so opposed to Chequers, he could stand in opposition to it as an Independent.

7 weeks ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Our Survey. Next Tory ... · 3 replies · +1 points

Boris has already explained how we should manage a No Deal Brexit ... https://youtu.be/HlaP_9NwWKA?t=649

7 weeks ago @ http://www.conservativ... - James Arnell: No Deal ... · 1 reply · +1 points

A ‘rectification and modification’ notice is submitted when you are claiming that the changes will not harm other members. This makes the UK vulnerable to any country harmed invoking a formal WHO dispute, which is why the EU have not done it that way.

It has often been said that we are hampered by negotiating new FTAs until our trade terms with the EU are agreed, the same must also be true if our terms with the WTO are subject to legal dispute.

I do not doubt that the USA, Canada, Australia and New Zealand want trade deals with us, but this gives them even greater leverage to tilt these to their advantage.

7 weeks ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Our survey finds a rec... · 1 reply · +1 points

Ultimately they will stop No Deal by postponing Exit Day from 29-Mar-19.

Section 20 (4) of the EU Withdrawal Act allows a Minister of the Crown to do this.