Paul_Hem

Paul_Hem

81p

733 comments posted · 60 followers · following 0

6 hours ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Henry Newman: Norway P... · 0 replies · +1 points

Yes I get that, but what I am unclear about is how the transition works, which is why I ask the provocative question about the deal. At the moment we are under EU trading arrangements. But when we leave the EU, in the same way as countries who became independent, EU law becomes British law until we change it. Surely the default position is that everything carries on as before except certain things where the act of leaving the EU means the law changes by default. So if we agree that stuff does carry on as before on a case by case basis, whats the difference between this and a deal? So using the automotive example, we simply agree that we continue to charge EU tariffs on imports from outside the EU, and we have free movement of cars and components within the EU. We also continue with the pricing rules that allow a customer to buy a UK spec car in Europe at the local price (or vice versa). Its only when we change something that this breaks down. If we stop charging tariffs on imports, then all the European dealers will buy their Toyotas in the UK. So the EU will charge the tariff at their border. Then customers will come to the UK to buy, so that rule will have to be looked at too. This is why we will end up as a rule taker whatever happens

1 day ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Henry Newman: Norway P... · 2 replies · +1 points

No deal is a misnomer - of course there will be agreements on all sorts of things. We have already done a deal on how people from EU countries who live here will be handled - and it keeps evolving! It would be crazy to make BMW pay tariffs every time it moves parts across the channel - an agreement will be reached so that this does not happen. So there will be multiple small "deals" in place of one big one.

Equally, if we have a "deal", then this will change as soon as we start passing legislation that conflicts with European rules and EU countries perceive an unfair advantage

Either way there is an element of making it up as we go along - does it really matter if we have a deal or not?

1 day ago @ http://www.conservativ... - No Deal can't be "take... · 5 replies · +1 points

I voted remain, but I am totally outraged by the behaviour of Remainer politicians - the idea of taking "no deal" off the table is risible - how do you expect to pressurise the EU in to improving the deal on that basis? Even worse is the suggestion we should have a referendum without the option of "no deal". Anyone who suggests these things deserved to be treated with utter contempt by the electorate - and will be.

While we are at it, I'm equally unimpressed with Brexiteers who attack Theresa May for "going against the will of Parliament" as if she was on one side and MPs were on the other. Ridiculous statement give the fact that two groups are opposing her deal for diametrically opposite reasons.

I don't blame her for trying to tough out her deal - in fact I don't think she has much choice. And I think the people increasingly respect her for this.

1 week ago @ http://www.conservativ... - May's statement about ... · 0 replies · +1 points

Since the people who voted down my deal did so for completely opposite reasons, there really isn't any point to developing a plan B as only one lot of them will support it,with the others opposing it even more vigorously. When I win the confidence vote, they will all look like hypocritical idiots, especially those plonkers in the DUP. In fact I wish I had done the confidence vote first. As this goes on, I'm going to look more and more like the only adult in town as Parliament opposes no deal, opposes a second referendum yet cant come up with a deal they support. I'm still the only game in town and eventually I will carborundum the illegitimi and win.

1 week ago @ http://www.conservativ... - A fact amidst the rumo... · 0 replies · +1 points

Perhaps she should do the confidence vote first - if she wins that how can people who voted for her then reject the deal??

2 weeks ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Nadine Dorries: Thugge... · 0 replies · +1 points

I have no sympathy for the car burning person - he should have thought about the effects on his life before he posted such a horrid message. I disagree with certain politicians and would robustly attack their views, and sometimes their behaviour, but there is a clear distinction between attacking views and opinions and this kind of ad hominem attack, which should be made an example of.

There is a real problem with the level and quality of debate in this country, and that people resort to personal abuse because they are not being listened to, or, worse, are being dismissed out of hand using straw man or ad hominem arguments. I think the media has a lot to answer for here, as do the left of centre PC establishment, with their "de-platforming" policy of silencing dissent.

As politicians you should remember that every time you silence someone using the raft of poor debating techniques (personal attacks to discredit, putting words in mouth, everyone thinks that so I dont have to justify myself, etc etc) then you are leaving them no recourse except direct action to put their point across.

You have to win arguments not discredit the opposition!

2 weeks ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Universal Credit. Nob... · 0 replies · +1 points

Well since the minimum wage arrived we haven't had any wage inflation whatsoever. Difficult to prove causation here as there are many other factors, immigration from the EU being one. However there has been no wage inflation when the pound fell, reducing the perceived benefit to Romanians of working in the UK. You would expect there would be some if they were the cause of low wages.

2 weeks ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Universal Credit. Nob... · 1 reply · +1 points

I think you are completely wrong about this. The old system was designed for an economy where people had proper jobs with defined hours. So people lost a job, had a period of unemployment then found another one.

The modern economy is different. This may be good or bad, but its a fact. We have far more temporary work, far more self employed people and agency workers and far more zero hours contracts. JSA was completely incapable of handling this, making people worse off if they took a week's work. Universal credit fixes this, and once they are up and running on it then its fine. The problem was that the Treasury tried to take money out of the system and hide it in the changeover, which led to the ridiculous five week delay. This is the killer - under JSA people got money immediately - the landlord had to wait for the housing benefit but this was OK as it was coming direct from the council who you trusted to pay when they said they would.

2 weeks ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Universal Credit. Nob... · 0 replies · +1 points

I was trying to be even handed - but GO did get the interest rate call right - I remember when the BoE was minded to raise rates he wrote to them basically telling them not to - which was the right call at the time

2 weeks ago @ http://www.conservativ... - Universal Credit. Nob... · 2 replies · +1 points

I think the minimum wage is actually holding wages down by providing a standard rate for unskilled work. Its become a target not a minimum

But now its there you cant get rid of it - the number would remain as a target. So increasing it is the only answer, which will cost jobs