What's amazing is that the press is asking all the same people who got every thing wrong last year what is going to happen this year including those who "predicted" the price of oil and the course of the economy.

As Nassim Taleb points out, even asking those who happened to get things right doesn't make much sense. If we used roulette wheels to make predictions, most would be wrong by the end of the year and a few would be proclaimed "geniuses" and be put in charge of hedge funds.

OK. I submitted prior art. Post is here http://blog.tomevslin.com/2007/12/patent-absurdit...

I coded a progress bar for Desktop Express for the Mac in 1985. Have the program and manuals. What date does the prior art need to be?